The Definite Daemon
Every future that matters to you is a claim about what happens next. The daemon breaks claims into branches, probabilities, signposts, and kill conditions — then checks them against reality, every day.
Type any claim about the future — or your company’s mission, or a company URL. The daemon computes the decision tree: the ways it can play out, weighted; the real-world signposts that decide between them; and the condition that kills it.
One tree takes about 30 seconds. Watching it forever is the subscription.
How it works
A frontier claim, your mission, a company URL — anything definite enough to be checked.
Branches with probabilities, reasoned from bottlenecks and base rates — not vibes. Signposts dated. Kill condition named.
Subscribed trees are checked against the news daily. When reality moves a branch, you get the ping — with what it means for your seat.
Reality grades the daemon, too. Every probability is dated and kept; resolved claims become base rates that sharpen the next tree; the daemon’s own record is public on the ledger. We don’t ask you to trust the machine — we show you its books.
Three ways in
What moved in the future this week — every fired signpost across the public record, with the so-what for builders, investors, and operators. For anyone.
The daemon on your own company: your plan decomposed into its real bottlenecks, base rates attached, and a standing watch that pings you when reality moves. For founders.
Quarterly branch briefings, monitored tripwires, and diligence trees on demand — dependency maps, never success verdicts, private to you. For funds and strategy teams.